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Gold Outlook: Record Highs on Ice as Bearish Signals Build

Bearish momentum is building in gold following last week's reversal from record highs. With optimism in risk assets lingering and technical patterns flashing warnings, it may be some time before gold can mount another serious push towards $3500.

Research

Japanese Yen (JPY) Sentiment Could Be at an Extreme: COT Report

The commitment of traders (COT) report shows how large speculators are positioned across futures markets on the CME exchange.

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Gold Forecast: XAU/USD Weakens Steadily Below $3,300 per Ounce

Over the past five trading sessions, gold has shown a significant bearish bias, accumulating a decline of more than 4.5%.

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Crude Oil, USDCAD Outlook: Markets Hold Key Levels Amid Trade Negotiations

Crude Oil, USCAD Outlook: WTI crude is challenging the $64.70 resistance as markets weigh ongoing trade negotiations and speculation that OPEC+ may unwind supply cuts. USD/CAD holds above 1.38, reflecting broader currency market consolidation amid global uncertainty. What are the next key levels?

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April 24, 2025 09:29 PM
Research

EUR/USD, AUD/USD, S&P 500 Analysis: COT Report

Asset managers remained net-long the US dollar index, but may have since flipped to bet short with the USD index falling below 100. Traders were less bearish on the Australian and Canadian dollars, and increased bullish interest on EUR/USD.

Oil rig in the sea

Crude Oil Analysis: WTI Hovers Around $60 Amid Global Demand Uncertainty

WTI crude has dropped more than 18% over the past seven trading sessions, and the strong bearish bias has remained intact.

Congress building

From Flush to FOMO: USD/JPY, GBP/USD and Silver Reboot After Trump Shock

A squeeze for the ages has cleared the decks across risk assets. From USD/JPY whiplash to silver’s bullish reversal, here's what to watch as the dust settles.

Research

Traders Placed Bets Against VIX and Swiss Franc Ahead of Tariffs: COT Report

A level of complacency ahead of Trump's tariffs can be seen in last week's futures market exposure, with traders increasing their short exposure to the VIX and Swiss franc, while also closing shorts against the Nasdaq at a notable pace.

Uptrend

Silver Price Wedged Against Support Ahead of Trump’s Liberation Day Address

Silver sits at key uptrend support ahead of Trump’s Liberation Day address, setting up a two-way trade. Will the bullish trend hold, or is a break looming?

Research

EUR/USD, Dollar Index, VIX Analysis: COT report

Asset managers increased their gross-short exposure to EUR/USD for the first week in six. Asset managers trimmed net-long exposure to the US dollar index for a tenth week. And the large speculators that help flip VIX exposure to net-short may be regretting their move, looking at how Wall Street indices are now trading.

Research

EUR/USD bears short-covered at fastest pace in 5 years - COT Report

The culling of EUR/USD shorts on the futures market was the fastest weekly pace since the pandemic, which also coincided with futures traders effectively flipping to net-short USD for the first time since October. Bears also short-covered NZD/USD shorts at their fastest pace since December 2011, while predictably chasing gold prices higher as we suggested last week.

Research

EUR/USD Flips to Net-Long, Yen Hints at Sentiment Extreme: COT Report

Large speculators flipped to net-long exposure EUR/USD futures for the first week in 21, and while they extended their bullish exposure to Japanese yen futures, it could be nearing a sentiment extreme. So USD/JPY bears may want to tread with caution.

Research

Bullish Bets on the Euro and Yen Continue to Rise: COT Report

Large speculators pushed their net-long exposure to Japanese yen futures to a record high for a second week, and were just net-short euro futures by 10k contracts.