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US CPI Preview: Why the Inflation Report Could Still Move the US Dollar, Despite Tariff Focus
Traders and economists are projecting headline CPI to come in at 2.8% y/y, with the core (ex-food and -energy) reading expected at 3.1% y/y - see what that might mean for the US Dollar!
Japanese Yen Weaker Amid Tariffs, Reduced Hawkish-BOJ Bets, CPI Reports in Focus
The Japanese yen was the weakest currency on Thursday, with traders lowering their expectations of a BOJ hike in light of Trump's tariffs. GBP/JPY was the outperformer as traders are also lowering their expectations of BOE cuts. But whether USD/JPY can break out above its 200-day EMA and the 152 handle likely requires a soft set of inflation figures from Tokyo and a stronger-than-expected US PCE report today.
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US CPI Preview: Is USD/JPY Picking Up a Faint Scent of Stagflation?
USD/JPY is testing a logical support zone for a bounce if we see an as-expected or hotter-than-expected inflation reading.
US CPI Preview: Will Trade War Fears Push Headline Inflation Back Above 3%?
Ahead of US CPI, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is rallying off range support, opening the door for extended gains toward 109.00 if the CPI reading comes in hotter-than-expected.
DJIA Forecast: The Dow Declines After the NFP
The Dow has managed to surpass the 44,000-point barrier and currently maintains steady growth of just over 7% since November.
US CPI Preview: Could a HOT Inflation Report Revive a Fed Pause?
The Fed is likely to cut interest rates by 25bps regardless of the CPI reading, though a hotter-than-expected print could certainly raise some questions for USD/CAD
EURUSD, Nasdaq Forecast: Inflation Data and Holiday Volatility
EURUSD, Nasdaq Forecast: Eurozone inflation data is in focus as EURUSD hovers near two-year lows. Meanwhile, irregular market volatility surrounding Thanksgiving, Christmas, and New Year is poised to dominate headlines, alongside key US economic data and Federal Reserve rate expectations in early December.
Japanese Yen Forecast: USD/JPY Slips as Traders Reconsider a BOJ Hike in December
Traders are now pricing in 50/50 odds for both a BOJ rate hike and a Fed rate cut in December, setting USD/JPY up for volatility around key economic reports.
The Fed, ECB, and More Explained: Central Bank FAQs for Forex Traders
Learn how the Fed, ECB, and BOJ impact forex markets. Get answers to FAQs on interest rates, currency trends, and trading strategies in this must-read guide.
US CPI Preview: Inflation Uptick Potential after Trump Election, Red Wave
The Fed is seen as nearly 50/50 to cut interest rates again in December after Donald Trump and the Republicans secured a “Red Wave” last week - see what to expect from US CPI!
US Dollar In Focus for the Election: Rates, Stocks Set for Volatility
The US Dollar was very strong in October as rising odds of a Trump win started to get priced-in to markets, but can equities avoid a pullback if longer-term US rates continue to fly-higher?
US CPI Preview: Could Inflation Reaccelerate after a Strong Jobs Report?
The Fed has shifted its focus to employment data, but after a stellar jobs report, could CPI pick up again?
USD/JPY, USD/CHF: How one massive interest rates futures trade moved FX markets
If you have a basic understanding of how the front-end rates markets work, you’ll almost certainly have better understanding of how influential it can be across a variety of asset classes. In the interest of improving that understanding, we looks at how one trade on Wednesday contributed to a sizeable US dollar rebound.
FOMC Meeting Preview: How the 25/50 Debate Means the Fed Has Already Failed
In the post-Bernanke “Fed Communication as a Policy Tool” era, this is the most uncertain that traders have ever been heading into a Fed meeting - what does that mean for markets?