Fiona Cincotta
Fiona Cincotta
Senior Market Analyst
Expertise: Macroeconomics, Fundamental & Technical Analysis, Media
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX slips as geopolitical tensions escalate
U.S. stocks are pointing to a weaker open on Monday as Iran vowed to retaliate for the US air strikes on its nuclear facilities over the weekend. The market reaction has so far been fairly muted as investors wait to see how Iran will retaliate. The markets also grapple with ongoing price pressures from President Trump's tariffs. Volatility in the oil price could add a new layer of inflationary concerns.
FTSE 100, EUR/USD Forecast: Two trades to watch
FTSE 100 holds steady with geopolitical tensions and PMI data in focus. EUR/USD stays under pressure after PMIs.
Nasdaq Forecast: QQQ rises as Trump delays US involvement decision
U.S. stocks are pointing to a modestly stronger start on Friday amid the ongoing uncertainty surrounding the US involvement in the Iran-Israel war. As the conflict in the Middle East is entering a second week, President Trump said he will decide in the coming two weeks whether the US will get involved in attacking Iran's nuclear facilities. This has eased fears of an imminent attack.
GBP/USD, Oil Forecast: Two trades to watch
GBP/USD slips ahead of the BoE rate decision, Oil rises as Trump weighs up involvement in the Middle East,
Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA subdued with the Fed & Middle East conflict in focus
U.S. stocks are set to open broadly unchanged amid rising tensions in the Middle East and ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision later today. President Trump and his team are evaluating several options, including potentially joining direct strikes against Iranian nuclear facilities. The Fed is expected to leave rates unchanged at 4.25% to 4.5%.
GBP/USD, Oil Forecast: Two trades to watch
GBP/USD rises after CPI eases by less than forecast & ahead of the Federal Reserve rate decision. Oil eases as the Israel-Iran conflict enters a sixth day.
S&P500 Forecast: SPX falls as Iran-Israel conflict continues, US retail sales drop
U.S. stocks are set to open lower as the Israel-Iran conflict continues for a fifth day, hurting risk sentiment and as retail sales fall by more than expected ahead of the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision.
USD/JPY, DAX Forecast: Two trades to watch
USD/JPY falls after the BoJ leaves rates unchanged & on safe-haven flows. DAX drops as the Israel–Iran conflict continues, ZEW economic sentiment data is due.
S&P500 Forecast: SPX rises as oil prices fall despite the ongoing Israel-Iran conflict
U.S. stocks are set for a positive open after losses last week as easing oil prices lift sentiment despite the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran. With oil supply unaffected by the conflict so far, oil prices eased calming the broader market. Attention also turns to the FIOMC rate decision on Wednesday.
Oil, USD/JPY Forecast: Two trades to watch
Oil eases as Middle East tensions remain in focus. USD/JPY unchanged ahead of a big week for central banks.
Weekly equities forecast: BP, Berkeley Group, Whitbread
Energy stocks will be in focus as investors track developments in the Middle East and the impact on oil prices. UK house builders like Berkeley Group, will be watched amid the BoE rate decision and full year results. Whitbread will release a trading update.