Matt Weller CFA, CMT

Matt Weller

Matt Weller CFA, CMT

Head of Market Research

Expertise: Macroeconomics, Technical Analysis, Sentiment Analysis

Trading Style: Trend/Swing


Experience:

• 15+ years trading and analysis experience covering the forex, equity, commodity, and cryptoasset markets

• Conducted over 1,300 educational webinars on different aspects of trading and trading psychology

• Analysis is regularly featured in the Financial Times, Reuters, MarketWatch and The Wall Street Journal among other outlets.

• Holds both his Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) and Chartered Market Technician (CMT) charters.


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FOMC Recap: Is the Fed Headed to the Beach Until September?

The FOMC, and Fed Chairman Powell in particular, are seemingly less concerned with the deteriorating labor market and equally if not more focused on the inflation side of the central bank’s mandate.

Federal reserve name plaque on building

FOMC Meeting Preview: Will the Fed Leave the Door Open for a July Cut?

A dovish surprise from the FOMC – perhaps a hint that the door remains open to a July rate cut or a strong lean toward cutting in September (currently “only” 60% priced in) – could lead to a bullish breakout in EUR/USD

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June 18, 2025 12:59 AM
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US Dollar Forecast: July Fed Cut Back in Play After Weak Jobs, Inflation Data

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is at 3+ year lows as continued yellow flags on inflation and the labor market could prompt the Fed to cut interest rates as soon as July.

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US CPI Preview: Inflation Set to Rise This Summer on Base Effects

After falling to 2.3% last month, base effects are likely to increase the year-over-year CPI inflation readings in each of the next two months.

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NFP Preview: Downside Risks Remain, Despite Low Expectations for the Jobs Report

The US Dollar is vulnerable as leading indicators point to near-expectation reading in this month’s NFP report, with headline job growth potentially coming in somewhere in the 115-150K range.

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Canadian Dollar Forecast: BOC Delivers a Dovish Hold, USD/CAD Drops Below 1.37

After the BOC's "dovish hold," USD/CAD is threatening a breakdown below key support in the 1.3700-15 area – the next support level for bears to watch is near 1.3625, the minor highs from last September

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Forex Seasonality – June 2025: Bullish Tailwinds for EUR/USD, AUD/USD

June has historically been a relatively strong month for EUR/USD and AUD/USD going back to the Bretton Woods Agreement in 1971 - see the other seasonal trends for June!

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Bitcoin, Ethereum Forecast: BTC/USD Quietly Getting a Foothold at Record Highs?

The outlook for Bitcoin and Ethereum remains supportive from a sentiment and flow perspective - see the key levels to watch from here!

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Japanese Yen Forecast: How Far Can the USD/JPY Bounce Extend?

With Japan's MOF considering curbing long bond issuance, USD/JPY has burst out of its two-week descending channel, forming a bullish engulfing candle in the process.

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Euro Technical Forecast: Will the EUR/USD Dip be Short-Lived?

EUR/USD bulls maintain the upper hand as long as the pair can hold above the key 1.1265 level - see why!

Gold, Bitcoin Forecast: Fiat Alternatives Rally on Trump Budget Drama

Concerns about the rising US debt and prospects of continued large deficits are intensifying, driving yields, gold, and bitcoin higher.