AUD USD

RBA cash rate futures currently imply a 62% chance of an RBA cut in May, and those odds are likely to increase further should trimmed mean inflation dip to 3% y/y or lower.

The V-shape recovery in AUD/USD seems to have stalled ahead of the December high (0.6515) as it struggles to retain the advance from the weekly low (0.6344).

AUD/USD surged nearly 8.9% off the yearly low with the bulls now testing resistance at the September downtrend. Battle lines drawn on the Aussie weekly technical chart.

A stalled recovery in the Aussie and Kiwi is raising fresh questions over whether recent gains have legs. With bearish candles emerging and the US dollar back in demand, the path of least resistance may be lower—at least for now.

The solid rebound for the Australian dollar over the past two weeks is showing signs of losing steam, with AUD/USD forming a bearish outside day on Tuesday thanks to comments from US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent boosting the US dollar.

Traders are increasingly focused on what a Trump-aligned Fed might mean for policy, inflation, and the dollar. With the risk of unconventional policies back in the mix, the greenback’s downside could extend if deemed a policy error by markets.

AUD/USD pushes above the February high (0.6409) as it extends the V-shaped recovery from earlier this month.

As market depth thins into Easter, AUD/USD and USD/JPY are lining up for potentially explosive moves. With big data and central bank risks ahead, traders should watch the near-term price action closely.

We look at intraday levels for GBP/USD, AUD/USD and USD/CAD ahead of inflation figures from Europe, US retail sales and a speech by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will speak on the U.S. economic outlook before the Economic Club of Chicago on Wednesday. And if we maintains his "wait and see" approach Fed members are generally aligned with regarding tariffs, it could help the US dollar extend its bounce seen on Tuesday.

The antipodean rally is rolling on, led by the Kiwi’s clean breakout and a bullish Aussie not far behind. With strong correlations to cyclical plays in China, could fresh U.S. trade tensions be the next hurdle—or the next catalyst?