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USD/JPY Rally Unravels as Fed Still Forecasts Lower US Interest Rates

USD/JPY gives back the rally from the start of the week as the Federal Reserve still plan to further unwind its restrictive policy in 2025.

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By : David Song
March 20, 2025 06:28 AM
Forex trading

USD/JPY outlook: BoJ holds, over to Fed to set the tone

With the US Federal Reserve to make its own policy announcement later, the USD/JPY outlook could take a new direction in the near-term, as the pair continues to test a major resistance zone near the 150.00 area.

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March 19, 2025 11:30 PM

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USDJPY, DXY Forecast: BOJ Holds, FOMC Next—Will the Dollar Hold?

USDJPY, DXY Forecast: The Bank of Japan (BOJ) held interest rates at 0.5% as expected, amid tariff uncertainties, while the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) remains near its 2025 lows ahead of the FOMC outlook, keeping markets on edge.

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March 19, 2025 07:51 PM
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USD/JPY Hits Speed Bump at 150 Ahead of BOJ and FOMC, ASX to Open Lower

We have two powerhouse central bank meetings lined up over the next 24 hours. While neither the BOJ or Fed are expected to change policy, the FOMC release their updated forecasts which will provide the first glimpse of their expectations of Trump's tariffs. Implied volatility for USD/JPY is, quite rightly, elevated.

Forex trading

USD/JPY forecast: BoJ and Fed could set the near-term tone

With both the Bank of Japan and US Federal Reserve to make policy announcements, the USD/JPY forecast could take a new direction in the near-term outlook, as the pair tests a major resistance zone near the 150.00 hurdle.

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March 18, 2025 11:45 PM
Forex trading

USD/JPY Rebound in Focus with BoJ Expected to Hold Interest Rate

USD/JPY may stage a larger rebound ahead of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) meeting as the central bank is expected to keep interest rates on hold.

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By : David Song
March 15, 2025 03:00 AM

USDJPY Drops to 150, EURUSD Holds Ahead of Flash PMIs

USDJPY retested the 150 zone for the first time since December 2024, alongside a rise in 10-year government bond yields to 16-year highs. Meanwhile, EURUSD remains above 1.04 ahead of upcoming Flash PMI releases.

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February 20, 2025 08:07 PM
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Japanese Yen Forecast: USD/JPY Unwind Risk Elevated as Inflation Pressures Mount

The yen’s fate may rest on Friday’s inflation report, with growing evidence that Japan’s economy is running hotter than expected. Are markets underpricing the risk of a BOJ hike?

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February 20, 2025 10:22 AM
Research

USD/JPY bears eye break of 151 as GDP bolsters hawkish-BOJ bets

Japan's Q4 GDP is the latest to data to outperform estimates and, through the lens of CESI (Cit Economic Surprise Index), Japan's data is also outperforming its peers. While USD/JPY is considering a break of 151, I'm on guard for a false break before the real move to 150 materialises.

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USDJPY, Gold Forecast: Bulls Recharge on Tariff and Inflation Risks

USDJPY, Gold Forecast: Trade war risks between the world’s two biggest economies, the US and China, weaken the dollar and boost haven momentum on gold, and Yen recharges strength against dollar with rate hike projections.

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February 5, 2025 10:27 PM

Yen Steadies as BOJ Hikes Rates; Gold Eyes 2,800$

USDJPY, Gold Forecast: The Japanese Yen stabilizes amid the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) rate hike decision, while gold surpasses the $2,730 barrier eyeing all-time highs.

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January 24, 2025 08:13 PM
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USD/JPY momentum turns lower as the BOJ hike rates to a 17-year high

The BOJ delivered the full 25bp hike as expected, which takes their interest rate to a 17-year high of 0.5%. Data released a few hours before the BOJ’s hike showed that Japan’s core CPI rose to a 16-year high, and the BOJ cited the fact that many firms have said they will continue to raise rate this year. And it is these growing wage pressures which have forced the BOJ to increase their price forecasts for fiscal year 2025 and 2026.

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January 24, 2025 03:15 PM
Research

USD/JPY Implied volatility rises to the occasion ahead of BOJ

USD/JPY may be consolidating for now, but not for much longer if the ~230-pip implied volatility range is correct. And with a 25bp hike expected from a central bank notorious for not sticking with market consensus, nothing should be taken for granted.

Forex trading

USD/JPY Slips to Fresh Monthly Low Ahead of BoJ Rate Decision

USD/JPY carves lower highs and lows ahead of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) interest rate decision as it slips to a fresh monthly low (154.78).

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By : David Song
January 22, 2025 07:30 AM