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Canadian Dollar Forecast: USD/CAD Dips on BOC, Latest Tariff Drama
USD/CAD has reversed off yesterday’s highs to trade back in the middle of its late-December through January range in the 1.4300-1.4500 zone on the BOC rate cut and latest tariff headlines.
The RBNZ deliver another 50bp cut, AUD/NZD eyes breakout
The RBNZ's cash rate is now 35bp above the RBA's - its highest spread in 12 years. We're now eyeing a potential breakout on AUD/NZD, once the obligatory bull-traps which tends to plague forex markets plays out.
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USD/JPY Implied volatility rises to the occasion ahead of BOJ
USD/JPY may be consolidating for now, but not for much longer if the ~230-pip implied volatility range is correct. And with a 25bp hike expected from a central bank notorious for not sticking with market consensus, nothing should be taken for granted.
FOMC Preview: Cut Then “Prudent Pause” from Powell?
EUR/USD has carved out a narrow range between 1.0470 and 1.0600 and unless the Fed delivers a meaningful surprise of some sort, that range may carry over.
BOC Recap: USD/CAD Drops as Macklem Hints at Gradual Cuts in 2025
USD/CAD fell back toward key horizontal support near 141.00 as BOC Governor Macklem hinted at a 2025 pause in the interest rate cutting cycle
NZD/USD, AUD/NZD: RBNZ to mull dovish cut in face of tariffs, Trump 2.0
The consensus is 50bp, market pricing leans towards 75bp. Whatever the RBNZ decide to do today, it comes down to whether they will signal further cuts, as to whether NZD/USD continues to depreciate or bounce on a "sell the rumour, buy the fact" reaction.
Relentless USD rally extends after Powell hints at slower pace of cuts
The USD bullish rally continued to rage after Powell bluntly said that the Fed may not be in a hurry to cut rates, citing a strong labour market and a "remarkably strong" economy.
Kashkari drops the 'p' word ahead of US CPI, USD/CHF stands firm
With Kashkari throwing the word ‘pause’ into the mix ahead of a US CPI report, traders should brace themselves for further USD gains should it come in hotter than expected.
GBP/USD in the crossfire of BOE, FOMC
We finally get a bit of a breather from the US election and can shift out attention to today’s BOE and FOMC meetings, making it an ideal time to catch up on GBP/USD.
AUD/JPY, AUD/NZD, NZD/USD analysis: RBA mins down, RBNZ up next
AUD/JPY looks to Wall Street for its next directional move while NZD/USD is down for a fifth day ahead of tomorrow's RBNZ meeting. But if they fail to deliver a dovish 50b cut, it could prompt profit taking from bears and weigh further on AUD/NZD.
AUD/USD weekly outlook: AUD/USD, AUD/NZD vulnerable to a pullback
The USD is surging and markets are betting that the RNZZ could cut rates by 100bp by December. Failure to do hint at such a move could see AUD/NZD track AUD/USD lower.
FOMC, BOE and BOJ meetings in focus: The Week Ahead
Next week brings three major central bank meetings, none of which seem to be on the same page policy wise. The Fed are expected to cut by 25bp and potentially set the record straight on another ‘50bp’ cut November, whereas there’s also an outside chance the BOJ may surprise with an interest rate hike given their renewed hawkish narrative. And while the Bank of England are expected to hold rates, a soft set of inflation figures could bring forward bets of a November cut.
AUD/USD, NZD/USD analysis: An RBNZ cut tomorrow may not be a slam dunk
NZD/USD has risen towards resistance despite speculation that the RBNZ could cut their cash rate by 25bp tomorrow, from 5.5% to 5.25%. And not for the first time, money markets and economists disagree.
AUD/USD weekly outlook: RBA meeting, speeches and ISM in focus
Two RBA speeches and a monetary policy decision along with updated RBA forecasts are the highlights of the week for AUD/USD traders on the domestic front. Although risk-off tones and an ISM services report could prove to be the bigger drivers.