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USD Slides as Moody’s Downgrade Adds to Pressure: EUR, JPY and Gold Test Key Levels

The timing of Moody’s U.S. downgrade couldn’t be worse for a dollar already looking shaky. With EUR/USD and USD/JPY testing key levels and gold extending its bounce, traders will be watching trade and tax headlines closely to kick off the new week.

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EUR/USD, Gold Outlook: Euro Holds Firm, Gold Eases on Risk Appetite

EUR/USD, Gold Outlook: As markets balance trade optimism with soft economic data, EURUSD continues to hold above the 1.12 mark, while gold is testing fresh support levels below $3,200. What are the key levels to watch?

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Gold Slides, AUD/USD Reverses as Media Report Lifts Greenback

The greenback catches a bid on reports that currencies are not the focus of U.S. trade negotiations. Focus now shifts to Australian jobs data, US inflation inputs, and gold’s precarious technical break.

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Crude Oil, Nasdaq Outlook: Middle East Deals Lift Risk Appetite

Crude Oil, Nasdaq Outlook: Risk appetite has strengthened on renewed U.S.–China trade optimism and recent diplomatic and investment progress in the Middle East, supporting stocks and crude oil amid improved growth expectations.

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May 14, 2025 09:43 PM
Research

USD, JPY, CAD and Gold Futures: Weekly COT Report Highlights (12 May 2025)

Positioning on the US dollar continues to suggest an oversold market. USD/CAD is rebounding in line with my bias, and large speculators have began betting against the Japanese yen.

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USD/CHF Climbs, Gold Pressured as Risk Sentiment Improves on Trade Reset

If escalating trade tensions were bullish for gold and the franc, signs of a thaw may keep the pressure on both. Gold’s rejection above $3400 and USD/CHF’s climb towards key resistance suggest the unwind in safe havens may not be over yet.

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USDJPY, Gold Forecast: Haven Demand Back in Sight

USDJPY, Gold Forecast: As market uncertainty builds ahead of the FOMC meeting on Wednesday, following a wave of concerning U.S. economic data, safe haven demand for both the yen and gold is becoming visible on the charts — while broader markets remain in wait-and-see mode.

Research

Japanese Yen Bulls Still Pushing Their Luck: COT Report

Japanese yen net-longs hit record highs, but price action diverges. With USD oversold and the BoJ dovish, JPY bulls may be pushing their luck too far.

Energy

Oil Analysis: WTI Holds Around $60 Amid OPEC+ Supply Uncertainty

The WTI crude oil barrel has shown a steady variation of barely 2% over the past two weeks of trading, settling around the $60 per barrel zone.

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Gold Outlook: Record Highs on Ice as Bearish Signals Build

Bearish momentum is building in gold following last week's reversal from record highs. With optimism in risk assets lingering and technical patterns flashing warnings, it may be some time before gold can mount another serious push towards $3500.

Research

Japanese Yen (JPY) Sentiment Could Be at an Extreme: COT Report

The commitment of traders (COT) report shows how large speculators are positioned across futures markets on the CME exchange.

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April 28, 2025 01:25 PM
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Gold Forecast: XAU/USD Weakens Steadily Below $3,300 per Ounce

Over the past five trading sessions, gold has shown a significant bearish bias, accumulating a decline of more than 4.5%.

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Crude Oil, USDCAD Outlook: Markets Hold Key Levels Amid Trade Negotiations

Crude Oil, USCAD Outlook: WTI crude is challenging the $64.70 resistance as markets weigh ongoing trade negotiations and speculation that OPEC+ may unwind supply cuts. USD/CAD holds above 1.38, reflecting broader currency market consolidation amid global uncertainty. What are the next key levels?

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April 24, 2025 09:29 PM
Research

EUR/USD, AUD/USD, S&P 500 Analysis: COT Report

Asset managers remained net-long the US dollar index, but may have since flipped to bet short with the USD index falling below 100. Traders were less bearish on the Australian and Canadian dollars, and increased bullish interest on EUR/USD.