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EURUSD, Gold Outlook: Key Levels Amid Market Uncertainty
EURUSD, Gold Outlook: Geopolitical tensions are rising, yet the dollar, euro, and gold remain range-bound, holding steady as markets await clarity this summer. What are the key levels to watch?
US Dollar Forecast: July Fed Cut Back in Play After Weak Jobs, Inflation Data
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is at 3+ year lows as continued yellow flags on inflation and the labor market could prompt the Fed to cut interest rates as soon as July.
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US CPI Preview: Inflation Set to Rise This Summer on Base Effects
After falling to 2.3% last month, base effects are likely to increase the year-over-year CPI inflation readings in each of the next two months.
US dollar forecast: Positive risk appetite, data fuel greenback recovery
The US dollar has had a decent day so far today, especially against the Japanese yen. But it was higher event against the commodity dollars despite a sharp improvement in risk appetite.
Dollar forecast: USD/JPY and DXY under pressure as Japan’s bond market implodes
If Japan’s bond implosion leads to a liquidation of US assets, then global investors may be in for a rude awakening. Against this backdrop, the US dollar forecast is bearish, with the USD/JPY in particular at risk of a bigger decline, possibly sub-140.00.
Dollar Forecast: Technical Tuesday - April 29, 2025
Traders were too busy reversing the “Sell America” narrative to pay attention to weak US data today. Buoyed by renewed optimism around potential trade deals between the US and major partners, the dollar has made a small recovery in recent days. While it is too soon to declare and end to the existing bearish dollar forecast, could this be the early stages of a broader dollar rebound?
Dollar forecast: Dollar Index (DXY) ready for another leg lower - Forex Friday
The US dollar forecast remains modestly bearish following last week’s big drop, driven largely by the rallying EUR/USD pair on the back of the Germany’s big spending plans.
Trump’s Dollar Dump: How History is Repeating Itself in DXY
The combination of uncertain growth prospects in the US and the possibility of large fiscal stimulus in Europe has had a predictably bearish impact on the US Dollar Index (DXY).
Dollar forecast: NFP and hot inflation expectations trigger DXY rebound - Forex Friday
Friday's data showing strong wages growth and hot inflation expectations, and ongoing expectations of inflationary policies under Donald Trump, means the Fed is likely to remain on pause for a long time. Against this backdrop, the US dollar forecast remains bullish.
Dollar forecast: US Dollar Index (DXY) off highs on firmer risk appetite
FX investors are looking forward to the release of US nonfarm payrolls report, due tomorrow, which should impact the near-term dollar forecast.
NFP Preview: Is the Stage Set for Another Strong Jobs Report (and USD Rally)?
NFP leading indicators point to a potentially above-expectation reading in Friday's jobs report - see what it might mean for the US Dollar!
US dollar forecast: USD/JPY rebounds ahead of more central bank action next week - Forex Friday
The US dollar forecast remains modestly bullish in our view, because of Trump’s inflationary policies. The fact that it has weakened a little in recent days is more of a reflection of the relief rally that some currencies like the euro have enjoyed.
Dollar forecast: DXY remains overall positive after eventful week - Forex Friday
While one can argue the greenback has made a short-term peak, the overall dollar forecast remains positive, especially against currencies subject to increased tariff risks from Trump’s administration.
No Fed Rate Cut in November: Is it on the Table After Strong US Data?
Traders are pricing in roughly a 1-in-10 chance that the Fed leaves interest rates unchanged at its November, but it may take 4 more better-than-expected US economic reports in a row.