Inflation
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US CPI Preview: Why the Inflation Report Could Still Move the US Dollar, Despite Tariff Focus
Traders and economists are projecting headline CPI to come in at 2.8% y/y, with the core (ex-food and -energy) reading expected at 3.1% y/y - see what that might mean for the US Dollar!
Japanese Yen Weaker Amid Tariffs, Reduced Hawkish-BOJ Bets, CPI Reports in Focus
The Japanese yen was the weakest currency on Thursday, with traders lowering their expectations of a BOJ hike in light of Trump's tariffs. GBP/JPY was the outperformer as traders are also lowering their expectations of BOE cuts. But whether USD/JPY can break out above its 200-day EMA and the 152 handle likely requires a soft set of inflation figures from Tokyo and a stronger-than-expected US PCE report today.
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US CPI Preview: Is USD/JPY Picking Up a Faint Scent of Stagflation?
USD/JPY is testing a logical support zone for a bounce if we see an as-expected or hotter-than-expected inflation reading.
US CPI Preview: Will Trade War Fears Push Headline Inflation Back Above 3%?
Ahead of US CPI, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is rallying off range support, opening the door for extended gains toward 109.00 if the CPI reading comes in hotter-than-expected.
US CPI Preview: Could a HOT Inflation Report Revive a Fed Pause?
The Fed is likely to cut interest rates by 25bps regardless of the CPI reading, though a hotter-than-expected print could certainly raise some questions for USD/CAD
EURUSD, Nasdaq Forecast: Inflation Data and Holiday Volatility
EURUSD, Nasdaq Forecast: Eurozone inflation data is in focus as EURUSD hovers near two-year lows. Meanwhile, irregular market volatility surrounding Thanksgiving, Christmas, and New Year is poised to dominate headlines, alongside key US economic data and Federal Reserve rate expectations in early December.
US CPI Preview: Inflation Uptick Potential after Trump Election, Red Wave
The Fed is seen as nearly 50/50 to cut interest rates again in December after Donald Trump and the Republicans secured a “Red Wave” last week - see what to expect from US CPI!
US CPI Preview: Could Inflation Reaccelerate after a Strong Jobs Report?
The Fed has shifted its focus to employment data, but after a stellar jobs report, could CPI pick up again?
AUD/USD eyes 2024 highs following another inflation upside surprise
AUD/USD has broken to the highest level since early January, driven by a surprisingly strong monthly inflation report. However, the underlying detail suggests we may see a big deceleration in the annual rate next month, raising questions as to whether the move will stick with so many major risk events approaching on the horizon.
British Pound Forecast: GBP/USD Bearish Channel Intact – What to Watch Next
Traders may view any near-term GBP/USD dips toward the 50-day EMA near 1.2800 as buying opportunities.
GBP/USD Analysis: Rally Extends Toward Sterling’s 1-Year High at 1.30
GBP/USD could pull back off 1-year highs at 1.3000 given the 17-year high in speculative long positioning, per the CFTC’s COT report.
A busy week awaits, despite US data taking a back seat: The Week Ahead
US data steps away from the limelight to make way for inflation reports from the UK, Canada, New Zealand, and Japan. And throw in an ECB meeting, Australian employment report and the CCP's Third Plenum for good measure.
US CPI Preview: Another Low-3% Reading Likely, Traders Looking to Buy S&P 500 Dips?
Traders and economists expect the US CPI report to fall to 3.1% y/y on a headline basis, with the “Core” (ex-food and -energy) reading expected to hold steady at 3.4% y/y.
US CPI Preview: Another Low-3% Reading Likely, Traders Looking to Buy S&P 500 Dips?
Traders and economists expect the US CPI report to fall to 3.1% y/y on a headline basis, with the “Core” (ex-food and -energy) reading expected to hold steady at 3.4% y/y.