Middle East

Crude Oil Week Ahead: Tariff concerns weigh on oil demand forecasts and geopolitical tensions elevate supply risks; this dual pressure is stalling oil’s rebound near the $70 per barrel mark ahead of Liberation Day and U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) week.

Crude Oil Week Ahead: Oil prices remain range-bound, caught between rising Middle East tensions and potential Russia–Ukraine peace deals. While peace deals could amplify oversupply and weak demand concerns, escalating conflict may lift risk premiums and temporarily support prices.

Crude Oil Week Ahead: After OPEC’s fifth downward revision for 2024 oil forecasts and additional cuts for 2025, crude oil prices stabilized near their 4-year support zone, buoyed by China’s stimulus commitments and significant Middle East reforms. Will it hold on FOMC week?

Crude Oil, Gold Forecast: Following China’s commitment to a moderately loose monetary policy in 2025, demand sentiment for Chinese oil and gold has surged, pushing crude oil above $70 and gold above $2,700. Middle East tensions continue to reinforce support levels for these commodities as drastic regional developments unfold.

Crude Oil Week Ahead: The bearish outlook on oil prices for 2025 is colliding with significant Middle Eastern reforms. OPEC’s decision to extend its output cuts into 2025 has stabilized oil prices near their 4-year support zone, which will be tested this week by Chinese economic data, US inflation reports, and Middle East developments.

Bitcoin, Gold Analysis: Ceasefire agreements are transitioning from speculation to reality ahead of the holiday season and Trump’s upcoming term. Gold’s rally has stalled below the $2,700 mark as haven demand wanes, while Bitcoin has retreated slightly below the psychological $100,000 level.

Crude Oil, GBPJPY Forecast: The lingering effects of Trump-era policies continue to shape broader market trends. Expectations of war resolutions are pressuring oil prices into a neutral stance, while tariff policies are fueling volatility across the US dollar rally.

How could a potential Israel-Lebanon ceasefire impact oil prices and what are the key levels to watch?

EURUSD, Gold Analysis: In the FX markets, the dollar's pullback from the 107 mark continues to support positive rebounds across currencies. Meanwhile, in the precious metals market, geopolitical tensions and the dollar's cooling momentum have enabled gold to recover from steep post-election drops.

Crude Oil Week Ahead: Crude oil prices face mounting pressures between clean energy transitions, geopolitical risks, and surplus concerns for 2025. Prices are now testing a critical 4-year support zone, challenging the continuation of the broader downtrend.

As the US elections draw near, the potential impacts of a Trump or Harris administration on the UAE are being closely examined. Changes in US policies could bring significant effects across various sectors in the UAE, though the country's economic resilience is expected to remain robust.