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Australian Dollar Outlook: Will AUD/USD Follow NZD/USD Lower?

The New Zealand dollar has broken down — and the Australian dollar may be next. With bearish divergences forming and risk sentiment fading, AUD/USD could soon follow NZD/USD lower.

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NZD/USD: Kiwi hit hard by risk aversion despite Q1 GDP pop

New Zealand’s economy outperformed in Q1, but you wouldn’t know it from the Kiwi’s reaction. NZD/USD broke sharply lower Thursday as geopolitical nerves saw risk appetite crater, triggering a bearish technical break that may have further to run.

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June 19, 2025 04:42 PM

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Uptrend

New Zealand Dollar Forecast: NZD/USD skates on thin ice as domestic data craters

The Kiwi dollar may be skating on thin ice, with new data pointing to a sharp deterioration in domestic activity. While global risk appetite dominates near-term price action, fading local momentum could reawaken calls for deeper RBNZ rate cuts.

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June 16, 2025 11:18 AM
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NZD/USD: Bullish signals build ahead of U.S. data gauntlet

The Kiwi’s in an uptrend and flashing bullish signals, but .6050 stands in the way. With no major local catalysts, direction may hinge on a barrage of top-tier U.S. data and broader dollar sentiment.

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June 5, 2025 02:47 PM
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AUD/USD, NZD/USD Outlook: US Dollar Slides as Tariff Risks Resurface

AUD/USD and NZD/USD climbed as the US dollar fell below 100 amid trade tensions. Key resistance levels and upcoming data will test the rally’s strength.

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NZD/USD Struggles to Test November High Ahead of RBNZ Rate Decision

NZD/USD may consolidate over the remainder of the month as it struggles to test the November high (0.6038).

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By : David Song
May 28, 2025 05:25 AM
Uptrend

RBNZ Set to Cut Again—But Forecasts Hold the Key for NZD Direction

Another rate cut from the RBNZ is widely expected, but the Kiwi’s next move hinges on how far the bank is willing to go from here. With markets already leaning dovish, anything short of an aggressive rate path could see NZD spike higher.

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May 27, 2025 11:40 AM
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NZD/USD: Kiwi cracks as trade reset sparks USD surge

The Kiwi’s safe haven halo has faded fast, with NZD/USD breaking sharply lower as capital floods back into the U.S. dollar following the latest trade truce. With momentum turning and Monday’s 200DMA break a potential game-changer, directional risks are skewing lower.

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May 13, 2025 09:28 AM
Research

AUD/USD, USD/CAD, NZD/USD: An Engulfing Day for Commodity FX

Commodity currencies stumble after bearish engulfing signals on AUD/USD, NZD/USD, and USD/CAD. As the Fed holds rates and trade talks loom, the US dollar regains strength.

Uptrend

AUD/USD, NZD/USD: Breakout Builds on China Stimulus Talk and Trade Hopes

The Aussie and Kiwi surged to new 2025 highs, riding a soft U.S. dollar and renewed hopes for a China trade breakthrough and stimulus. While domestic data remains weak, risk-on flows and bullish technicals hint at more upside ahead.

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AUD/USD, NZD/USD: Bears Fight Back After V-Shaped Rally Hits a Wall

A stalled recovery in the Aussie and Kiwi is raising fresh questions over whether recent gains have legs. With bearish candles emerging and the US dollar back in demand, the path of least resistance may be lower—at least for now.

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April 24, 2025 11:49 AM
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AUD/USD, NZD/USD: Antipodeans in orbit as China proxies pop

The antipodean rally is rolling on, led by the Kiwi’s clean breakout and a bullish Aussie not far behind. With strong correlations to cyclical plays in China, could fresh U.S. trade tensions be the next hurdle—or the next catalyst?

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April 15, 2025 04:07 PM
Chart showing uptrend

NZD/USD Surges Beyond YTD Highs, Eyes Further Gains

A reliable technical pattern, a key breakout, and a surprise link with gold—are we seeing a trend shift for the Kiwi?

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April 14, 2025 05:17 PM
Market chart

NZD/USD, AUD/USD Catch Sympathy Bid as RBNZ Play Safe with 25bp Cut

The RBNZ refrained from any knee-jerk reaction to trump’s tariffs and cut by the expected 25bp to 3.5%. But further easing seems likely, prompting a sympathy bid for NZD/USD and AUD/USD. Though larger forces are likely to keep any upside capped for now.