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20231218 - 001 - 01

S&P 500 Forecast: SPX lacks direction ahead of US data

U.S. stocks are muted as investors continue to consider the global impact of President Trump's trade policies. The OECD lowered its global growth forecast for a second time this year, warning of a deteriorating outlook due to rising trade barriers and waning business confidence.

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June 3, 2025 11:56 PM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX falls on renewed US-China trade war fears

U.S. stocks are pointing to a lower open as renewed tensions between China and the US raise the likelihood of a costly trade war. Federal Reserve officials, including Chair Powell, are due to speak. ISM manufacturing PMI data is due later and is expected to contract again in May.

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June 2, 2025 10:32 PM

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USD/JPY, Oil Forecast: Two trades to watch

USD/JPY falls as trade worries rise on Trump’s erratic policies. Oil rises amid escalating Russia-Ukraine tensions.

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June 2, 2025 07:51 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA rebounds as Trump postpones steeper EU tariffs

U.S. stocks are set to open higher on Tuesday, the first day back after the long weekend, as investors cheer President Trump's postponement of plans to impose 50% tariffs on the European Union, averting a costly trade war. Attention turns to Fed speakers and US consumer confidence data.

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May 27, 2025 11:01 PM
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Crude Oil Weekly Outlook: Trump Deadlines, OPEC Decisions, and Geopolitics

Crude Oil Weekly Outlook: Despite headlines pointing to depressed oil prices, market jitters surrounding Trump’s tariff tactics, and growing concerns over U.S. debt, WTI remains resilient, holding firmly above the key psychological level of $60. What are the critical levels to watch this week?

20231218 - 001 - 01

S&P500 Forecast: SPX slips, treasury yields rise as Trump's bill is passed

U.S. stocks are falling but have recovered from the lows as investors weigh up the impact of Trump's Big Beautiful Bill ahead of business activity data later in the session. Trump's signature tax bill narrowly passed a House vote this morning, advancing the package. It will avert a year-end tax increase at the expense of increasing U.S. debt.

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May 22, 2025 11:42 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX falls as bond yields climb with Trump's bill in focus

U.S. stocks are opening lower as investors digest earnings from major retailers and monitor developments on Trump's key budget bill. A key vote on the sweeping tax cuts comes after Moody's cut the US credit rating, citing concerns over the huge US debt pile.

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May 21, 2025 11:05 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA muted with Fed speakers in focus

U.S. stocks are heading for a quiet open as investors await further commentary from Federal Reserve officials to assess the potential impact of Trump's tariffs in the coming months. The US economic calendar is quiet. Concerns linger surrounding the US debt pile after Moody's credit rating cut yesterday and ahead of Trump's tax cut vote this week.

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May 20, 2025 11:35 PM
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Crude Oil Outlook: WTI Maintains a Neutral Bias Near the $60 per Barrel Zone

WTI crude oil has shown a relatively steady variation of around 3% over the past few trading sessions, without establishing a clear direction, as the price oscillates around the $60 mark in the short term.

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May 20, 2025 06:00 AM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX falls after Moody's downgrade

U.S. stocks are heading for a lower start while treasury yields rise after Moody's downgraded the U.S. sovereign rating, heightening the attention on the country's mounting debt pile. The news is overshadowing recent good news on US trade deals and the US-China trade truce.

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May 19, 2025 11:10 PM
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GBP/USD Oil Forecast: Two trades to watch

GBP/USD rises as USD falls after credit downgrade. Oil falls on growth concerns in China, US.

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S&P500 Forecast: SPX grinds higher with trade developments in focus

U.S. stocks point to a modestly higher open as investors pause for breath following a strong start to the week fueled by optimism surrounding the U.S.-China trade deal and cooler-than-expected inflation. US indices have rebounded strongly as the worst-case scenario for trade tariffs has passed and amid a de-escalating trade war with China.

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May 14, 2025 11:13 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX rises as inflation cools

U.S. stocks are set to open broadly higher after US inflation cooled by more than expected and as the market continues digesting the de-escalation of the U.S.–China trade war. US CPI cooled to 2.3% YoY, down from 2.4% in March, below expectations of 2.4%. This marked the slowest pace in inflation since spring 2021, and it was the third month in a row that inflation was cooler than expected.

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May 13, 2025 11:10 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ soars on US-China trade deal

U.S. stocks are set to open significantly higher as the US and China agreed to a deal to reduce tariffs, signaling a de-escalation in the trade war. The US will lower tariffs to 30%, down from 145%, and Chinese taxes on US imports will fall to 10% from 125%. These new measures will be effective for 90 days.

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May 12, 2025 11:02 PM