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AUD/USD: RBA Holds as Inflation Risks Keep Rate Cuts in Check

With inflation risks lingering, the RBA stays cautious. Could the next inflation report trigger a rate cut?

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April 1, 2025 03:35 PM
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AUD/USD weekly outlook: RBA, ISMs and NFP in Focus

AUD/USD is on track for a bullish month for March, even if it handed back over half of its early-month gains. Attention now shifts to tomorrow's RBA meeting for AUD/USD traders, alongside ISM and NFP reports from the US.

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Australian Dollar Forecast: AUD/USD Coils Ahead of RBA Rate Decision

AUD/USD seems to be tracking the flattening slope in the 50-Day SMA (0.6297) as it still trades within the February range.

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By : David Song
March 29, 2025 03:30 AM
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Australian Dollar Forecast: Tight Jobs Market Means AUD/USD Weakness May Not Last

A sharp drop in employment grabbed headlines, but the real story is the resilience of Australia’s labour market. With unemployment steady and underutilisation falling, the RBA has little reason to entertain an April rate cut. Will the data be enough to keep the Aussie supported?

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March 20, 2025 12:26 PM
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AUD/USD Forecast: Hawkish RBA Cut Keeps Aussie Dollar Bulls in Play

The RBA delivered a widely expected 25bp rate cut but stopped short of signalling further easing. With inflation risks still in play and the labour market holding firm, markets have scaled back expectations. Will Governor Bullock shed more light on what comes next?

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February 18, 2025 03:17 PM
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AUD/USD Eyes January High Ahead of RBA Rate Decision

AUD/USD may stage further attempts to test the January high (0.6331) as it bounces back from the weekly low (0.6235).

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By : David Song
February 13, 2025 07:25 AM
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AUD/USD weekly outlook: Upside may be capped, but a cycle low could be in

The breakout to a 5-year low on Monday was short lived, before AUD/USD went on to recover as much as 3.5% by the day's high. Given the extended bearish period seen since Q4, perhaps an important cycle low has been set.

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AUD/USD, ASX 200: Inflation Miss Sets Stage for First RBA Rate Cut Since 2020

Cooling inflation pressures have reignited speculation of an RBA rate cut, marking a potential shift in Australia’s monetary policy landscape. AUD/USD tests key support as ASX 200 SPI futures eye record highs.

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January 29, 2025 12:51 PM
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AUD/USD: Jobs Data Bolsters Range Test as RBA Rate Cut Bets Ease

AUD/USD edges higher as a strong jobs report questions the need for RBA rate cuts. Could this be the spark for a breakout, or will resistance keep the Aussie in check?

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January 16, 2025 12:59 PM
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AUD/USD Vulnerable to Change in RBA Policy

AUD/USD holds below pre-US election rates as trades at its lowest level since 2022.

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By : David Song
January 1, 2025 02:30 AM
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AUD/USD: Sudden unemployment slide casts doubt on need for RBA rate cuts

Another strong Australian jobs report has cast doubt on the need for the RBA to reduce rates in early 2025, with evidence mounting that unemployment has peaked. Traders price more than three rate cuts over the next year, but any signs of returning inflationary pressures could spark upside for bond yields and AUD.

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December 12, 2024 12:45 PM
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AUD/USD: Rate cut bets rise as RBA signals confidence in inflation progress

AUD/USD faces fresh pressure after the RBA's dovish shift raises rate cut bets, with traders now eyeing a potential move in February. A break below key support could see the pair test new lows as the outlook for the Aussie darkens.

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December 10, 2024 03:15 PM
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AUD/USD weekly outlook: RBA, AU jobs, US CPI on tap

AUD/USD finds itself at a 13-month low after suffering its worst week in 19. Strong US data has propelled the USD higher while the Aussie also continues to track the Chinese yuan lower. A break of a key trendline from the 2022 low seems probable.

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Australian Dollar Forecast: AUD/USD Eyes Yearly Low Ahead of RBA

AUD/USD may attempt to test the yearly low (0.6349) as it extends the decline from the start of the month.

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By : David Song
December 7, 2024 03:02 AM