RBA

Aussie CPI edges higher, but the RBA cut bias stays firm. Australian dollar dips as markets focus on upcoming data and July’s rate decision. Key levels in play for AUD/USD and AUD/JPY.

AUD/USD struggles to retain the advance from the start of the week as the RBA shows a greater willingness to further unwind its restrictive policy.

The RBA cut rates again as expected, but softer forecasts and rising uncertainty pushed markets to price in a more dovish path ahead. AUD slipped, yields fell, and the RBA’s inflation risk now looks more balanced.

The RBA’s rate cut looks locked in, but the real test for markets will come via its outlook. Any resistance to expectations for more easing could see the Australian dollar push higher, with the ASX 200’s rally potentially taking a breather.

AUD/USD may struggle to retain the advance from the start of the week as the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to deliver a 25bp rate cut.

Australia’s inflation pulse showed some strength in Q1, but soft market-based price growth signals fading demand pressures. Traders expect multiple RBA cuts by 2025, but global risks—particularly around the U.S. and China—could keep the central bank cautious. The Aussie dollar faces resistance, with downside risks increasing.

With inflation risks lingering, the RBA stays cautious. Could the next inflation report trigger a rate cut?

AUD/USD is on track for a bullish month for March, even if it handed back over half of its early-month gains. Attention now shifts to tomorrow's RBA meeting for AUD/USD traders, alongside ISM and NFP reports from the US.

AUD/USD seems to be tracking the flattening slope in the 50-Day SMA (0.6297) as it still trades within the February range.

A sharp drop in employment grabbed headlines, but the real story is the resilience of Australia’s labour market. With unemployment steady and underutilisation falling, the RBA has little reason to entertain an April rate cut. Will the data be enough to keep the Aussie supported?

The RBA delivered a widely expected 25bp rate cut but stopped short of signalling further easing. With inflation risks still in play and the labour market holding firm, markets have scaled back expectations. Will Governor Bullock shed more light on what comes next?