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NZD/USD: Split decision at RBNZ clouds path for further easing
Markets got their cut, but not the dovish consensus they were expecting. A firmer inflation tone and a lone dissenting vote hint the RBNZ may not be fully aligned on what comes next.
NZD/USD Struggles to Test November High Ahead of RBNZ Rate Decision
NZD/USD may consolidate over the remainder of the month as it struggles to test the November high (0.6038).
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RBNZ Set to Cut Again—But Forecasts Hold the Key for NZD Direction
Another rate cut from the RBNZ is widely expected, but the Kiwi’s next move hinges on how far the bank is willing to go from here. With markets already leaning dovish, anything short of an aggressive rate path could see NZD spike higher.
NZD/USD, AUD/USD Catch Sympathy Bid as RBNZ Play Safe with 25bp Cut
The RBNZ refrained from any knee-jerk reaction to trump’s tariffs and cut by the expected 25bp to 3.5%. But further easing seems likely, prompting a sympathy bid for NZD/USD and AUD/USD. Though larger forces are likely to keep any upside capped for now.
The RBNZ deliver another 50bp cut, AUD/NZD eyes breakout
The RBNZ's cash rate is now 35bp above the RBA's - its highest spread in 12 years. We're now eyeing a potential breakout on AUD/NZD, once the obligatory bull-traps which tends to plague forex markets plays out.
RBNZ Preview: Rate Guidance Key to NZD/USD Direction as 50bp Cut Looms
With a 50bp rate cut all but certain, the RBNZ’s guidance will be the real market mover. Will policymakers stick to their previous rate path, or will markets be forced to rethink their aggressive easing bets? NZD/USD sits near multi-month highs—can it launch if the central bank pushes back against dovish expectations?
NZD/USD: RBNZ Set for Third Jumbo Rate Cut as Inflation Keeps Cooling
With domestic inflation concerns firmly in the rear view mirror, NZD/USD remains at the mercy of global forces. Can the Kiwi chart a new course amid signs of easing US trade policy concerns?
NZD/USD: Kiwi Craters as Deep Recession Fuels RBNZ Rate Cut Bets
New Zealand’s economy is in freefall, with a deep recession and dire GDP data sparking bets on aggressive RBNZ rate cuts. Add a hawkish Fed twist, and NZD/USD has plunged to two-year lows. Could .5515 be the next stop?
RBNZ cuts 50bps, signals higher neutral estimate; NZD/USD surges as rate cut slowdown looms
The RBNZ took the safe option in delivering a 50bps cut, but hawkish signals have traders buzzing. Can NZD/USD sustain its breakout momentum, or will the US dollar reclaim control?
NZD/USD, AUD/NZD: RBNZ to mull dovish cut in face of tariffs, Trump 2.0
The consensus is 50bp, market pricing leans towards 75bp. Whatever the RBNZ decide to do today, it comes down to whether they will signal further cuts, as to whether NZD/USD continues to depreciate or bounce on a "sell the rumour, buy the fact" reaction.
NZD/USD Rebounds Ahead of 2023 Low with RBNZ Expected to Cut
NZD/USD bounces back ahead of the 2023 low (0.5774) to keep the Relative Strength Index (RSI) above 30.
RBNZ preview: Will Orr's 'Shock and Awe' return as key rates decision looms?
New Zealand’s economy is crawling despite aggressive rate cuts, leaving the RBNZ staring down a crucial decision: play it safe or unleash Adrian Orr’s hallmark “shock and awe” with a bold move next week. Could a 75bp cut be the surprise markets aren’t ready for?
NZD/USD: Weak jobs may push RBNZ to cut harder, Congress outcome to steer near-term direction
NZD/USD rises despite soft jobs data, with risk of mega RBNZ cut remaining on the table. US Congress composition now key to near-term Kiwi moves.
NZD/USD sinks as disinflation trend adds to case for RBNZ jumbo rate cut
New Zealand consumer price inflation (CPI) fell to the lowest level since early 2021 in the September quarter, seeing markets retain the view the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will deliver another jumbo rate cut in November. NZD/USD has moved back towards range lows ahead of another key inflation measure.