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If Consumers Don’t Consume, a Recession Could be Presumed

Consumer sentiment fell at its fastest pace in three years, and to its lowest level since January 2021 according to the Conference Board. And chances are, weak figures are likely to appear in Friday’s University of Michigan’s (UOM) report. I take a closer look at both.

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Black swan events: how does black swan theory affect trading?

A black swan event can have a devastating impact on the markets and is next to impossible to predict. So how should you deal with black swans when trading?

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October 25, 2023 06:48 PM

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European Open: The USD is back on the ropes as ISM renews recession fears

Weak PMI and ISM data has renewed concerns of a US recession, which saw the 10-year – 3-month hit its most negative level since the 80’s.

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April 4, 2023 02:07 PM
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Economic depression vs recession: preparing for financial downturns

An economic depression is more severe and long-lasting than a recession, but both can wreak havoc on financial markets. Find out what the difference between a depression and recession is, and how you can prepare for a longer economic decline.

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December 15, 2022 10:55 PM
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Growth concerns replace inflation woes

…But stock markets keep on rising for now.

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Things go from bad to worse for US stocks

Incoming economic data from the US continues to weaken, raising fears over an economic slowdown

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November 4, 2022 02:30 AM
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Recession worries grow in busy week for earnings and central banks

Poor PMI data underscore the challenges central banks face at a time when inflation remains very high

Close-up of market chart showing downtrend

Recession worries grow in busy week for earnings and central banks

Poor PMI data underscore the challenges central banks face at a time when inflation remains very high

Research

GBP/USD could revisit 1.25 as US recession confirmed

GDP was quite poor, so there won’t be a hattrick of 75 basis point hikes in September, that’s for sure.

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July 29, 2022 01:08 AM
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US yield curve sees its deepest inversion since 2000: What does it mean for major markets?

If traders don’t have this scenario in their minds, they’re ignoring one of the biggest risk in markets right now...

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July 15, 2022 03:15 AM

Oil takes a hit as recession and Covid fears loom

The German ZEW and the continued on again/off again lockdowns in China are contributing to fears of a global slowdown or recession.

Yen, Euros and dollar currency bills and notes

EUR/JPY pushes lower as recession fears set in

In addition to EUR/USD moving lower, EUR/JPY could continue lower as well, as the Yen is also considered a safe haven currency.

July 7, 2022 02:22 AM
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European stocks and economy vulnerable

Nothing has changed fundamentally to suggest the markets have bottomed out

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July 4, 2022 10:42 PM
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US stocks drop as another consumer confidence barometer plunges

The slump in confidence was driven by a plunge in 'expectations' sub-index

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June 29, 2022 01:23 AM