Russia Ukraine conflict

Crude Oil Week Ahead: Oil prices remain range-bound, caught between rising Middle East tensions and potential Russia–Ukraine peace deals. While peace deals could amplify oversupply and weak demand concerns, escalating conflict may lift risk premiums and temporarily support prices.

EURUSD, Bitcoin Outlook: Following the EU and UK’s defense support for Ukraine amid Trump-Zelensky tensions and Trump’s announcement of a strategic crypto reserve, EUR/USD has remained above 1.0360, while Bitcoin surged past 92,000.

Crude Oil Week Ahead: A mix of declining consumer confidence, escalating trade war tensions, and geopolitical uncertainties—intensified by the latest Zelensky-Trump dispute—is fueling major uncertainty across commodities in March.

EURUSD, DXY Outlook: the EURUSD and DXY are currently on a market hold, influenced by German deflation risks, U.S. inflation concerns, ongoing Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations, and Germany’s evolving political landscape.

EUR/USD is poised for a potential breakout if PMIs come in better-than-expected; in that scenario, a quick continuation toward the key 1.0600 level is likely.

A slight risk-on tone weakened the Japanese yen and Swiss franc on Tuesday on news from around Ukraine and Russia, while Powell subtly hinted that hikes are not off the table during his testimony to the House. And this saw USD/JPY and JPY, along with other yen pairs, recoup some of last week's losses.

Crude Oil Week Ahead: Crude oil’s 4-year support level has amplified its importance as supply disruption risks rise again amid the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Meanwhile, OPEC’s upcoming meeting on Sunday could reshape production quotas and influence market dynamics.

Some of the most influential events affecting the markets

We knew it was coming, but now it is official. Trump will run for the Whitehouse once more. But perhaps more pressing is today’s emergency NATO meeting.

With oil prices having fallen over 20% from their highs and Russia set to close gap supplies once more, we see the potential for oil to hit bid again.

Part of the reason why the EUR/USD recovered had nothing to do with the euro, but everything to do with the US dollar.