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20231218 - 001 - 01

S&P 500 Forecast: SPX slips as geopolitical tensions escalate

U.S. stocks are pointing to a weaker open on Monday as Iran vowed to retaliate for the US air strikes on its nuclear facilities over the weekend. The market reaction has so far been fairly muted as investors wait to see how Iran will retaliate. The markets also grapple with ongoing price pressures from President Trump's tariffs. Volatility in the oil price could add a new layer of inflationary concerns.

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June 23, 2025 11:22 PM
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Nasdaq Forecast: QQQ rises as Trump delays US involvement decision

U.S. stocks are pointing to a modestly stronger start on Friday amid the ongoing uncertainty surrounding the US involvement in the Iran-Israel war. As the conflict in the Middle East is entering a second week, President Trump said he will decide in the coming two weeks whether the US will get involved in attacking Iran's nuclear facilities. This has eased fears of an imminent attack.

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June 20, 2025 11:09 PM

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20231218 - 001 - 01

Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA subdued with the Fed & Middle East conflict in focus

U.S. stocks are set to open broadly unchanged amid rising tensions in the Middle East and ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision later today. President Trump and his team are evaluating several options, including potentially joining direct strikes against Iranian nuclear facilities. The Fed is expected to leave rates unchanged at 4.25% to 4.5%.

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June 18, 2025 11:34 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX falls as Iran-Israel conflict continues, US retail sales drop

U.S. stocks are set to open lower as the Israel-Iran conflict continues for a fifth day, hurting risk sentiment and as retail sales fall by more than expected ahead of the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision.

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June 17, 2025 10:50 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX rises as oil prices fall despite the ongoing Israel-Iran conflict

U.S. stocks are set for a positive open after losses last week as easing oil prices lift sentiment despite the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran. With oil supply unaffected by the conflict so far, oil prices eased calming the broader market. Attention also turns to the FIOMC rate decision on Wednesday.

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June 16, 2025 10:55 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA slumps in risk-off trade amid Middle East escalation

U.S. stocks are falling in risk-off trade after Israel launched an attack on Iran overnight, hitting risk sentiment and pulling stocks lower, whilst oil prices surged. Safe haven Gold has rallied, and the USD has also seen safe haven demand for the first time in months. Headline risk remains a key driver and developments over the week could impact Monday's open.

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June 13, 2025 11:23 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA falls after weak data & Trump's trade tariff update

U.S. stocks are falling after weaker-than-expected data raises concerns over the health of the US economy, and as Trump rattles the markets with more trade tariff uncertainty. Data showed that US jobless claims were higher than expected, rising to 248K up from 247K and defying expectations of a decline to 240K. Meanwhile, US producer price inflation also remained muted in May, another sign that tariffs have yet to increase prices.

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June 13, 2025 12:00 AM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ muted with US-China trade talks in focus

U.S. stocks are pointing to a muted start as investors await the outcome of ongoing trade talks between the US and China, which aim to ease tensions between the two powers. Chips and rare earth minerals will be a key focus for the discussions. Attention is also turning to US CPI data tomorrow.

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June 10, 2025 11:37 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX muted ahead of US-China trade talks

U.S. stocks are subdued on Monday as investors await news surrounding renewed U.S.-China trade talks and look ahead to key inflation data later in the week. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and two other U.S. officials are expected to hold trade talks with representatives from China in London today. Any improvement in relations and progress could boost the market mood.

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June 9, 2025 10:40 PM
20231218 - 001 - 01

Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA falls after more weak jobs data

U.S. stocks are full length after US jobless claims unexpectedly rose last week to the highest level since October, adding signs that the job market is cooling. US jobless claims rose 8k to 247k, ahead of the fall to 235k forecast and the highest level since October.

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June 6, 2025 12:00 AM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA unchanged despite weaker jobs data

U.S. stocks are rising cautiously higher despite signs of weakness in the US labour market, raising concerns about the Trump administration's erratic trade policies on the economy. ADP payrolls were just 37k, the lowest level in two years and well below the 120k forecast. ISM services PMI data is due shortly.

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June 5, 2025 12:07 AM
20231218 - 001 - 01

S&P 500 Forecast: SPX lacks direction ahead of US data

U.S. stocks are muted as investors continue to consider the global impact of President Trump's trade policies. The OECD lowered its global growth forecast for a second time this year, warning of a deteriorating outlook due to rising trade barriers and waning business confidence.

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June 3, 2025 11:56 PM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX falls on renewed US-China trade war fears

U.S. stocks are pointing to a lower open as renewed tensions between China and the US raise the likelihood of a costly trade war. Federal Reserve officials, including Chair Powell, are due to speak. ISM manufacturing PMI data is due later and is expected to contract again in May.

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June 2, 2025 10:32 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA falls as US consumers slow spending, tariff concerns

U.S. stocks are set to open lower after data show that US inflation cooled in April and as trade tariff worries hit confidence. Core PCE, the Federal Reserve's preferred gauge for inflation, eased to 2.5% YoY in April, down from 2.7% in March, which is in line with forecasts and the lowest level in four years

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May 30, 2025 11:37 PM