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US Dollar Outlook: Don’t Write Off the USD Just Yet

The US dollar remains under pressure, but extreme bearish sentiment, technical support, and fading downside momentum hint at a potential rebound.

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US Dollar Short-term Outlook: USD Holds Key Support Before NFPs

US Dollar plunged into critical support at the yearly lows with the weekly range intact ahead of NFPs. Battle lines drawn on the DXY short-term technical charts.

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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA falls after more weak jobs data

U.S. stocks are full length after US jobless claims unexpectedly rose last week to the highest level since October, adding signs that the job market is cooling. US jobless claims rose 8k to 247k, ahead of the fall to 235k forecast and the highest level since October.

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June 6, 2025 12:00 AM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA unchanged despite weaker jobs data

U.S. stocks are rising cautiously higher despite signs of weakness in the US labour market, raising concerns about the Trump administration's erratic trade policies on the economy. ADP payrolls were just 37k, the lowest level in two years and well below the 120k forecast. ISM services PMI data is due shortly.

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June 5, 2025 12:07 AM
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US Dollar Technical Forecast: USD Stabilizes Above Pivotal Support

US Dollar is trading just above critical support at the yearly low with the June opening-range now taking shape. Battle lines drawn on the USD weekly technical chart.

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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX lacks direction ahead of US data

U.S. stocks are muted as investors continue to consider the global impact of President Trump's trade policies. The OECD lowered its global growth forecast for a second time this year, warning of a deteriorating outlook due to rising trade barriers and waning business confidence.

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June 3, 2025 11:56 PM
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USD Majors, Gold, Oil, Bitcoin, Equities Weekly Technical Outlook

Sr. Technical Strategist Michael Boutros highlights the levels that matter on the USD Majors, commodities & stocks into the weekly / monthly open.

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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX falls on renewed US-China trade war fears

U.S. stocks are pointing to a lower open as renewed tensions between China and the US raise the likelihood of a costly trade war. Federal Reserve officials, including Chair Powell, are due to speak. ISM manufacturing PMI data is due later and is expected to contract again in May.

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June 2, 2025 10:32 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA rebounds as Trump postpones steeper EU tariffs

U.S. stocks are set to open higher on Tuesday, the first day back after the long weekend, as investors cheer President Trump's postponement of plans to impose 50% tariffs on the European Union, averting a costly trade war. Attention turns to Fed speakers and US consumer confidence data.

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May 27, 2025 11:01 PM
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US Dollar Shorts Trimmed, Gold Bulls Return: COT report

COT report reveals USD shorts trimmed and gold longs rising, though commodity currencies are on the verge of breakouts despite short bets against them. Wall Street indices see real-money accounts stepping in.

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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA slump as Trump threatens EU & Apple with higher tariffs

U.S. stocks are falling sharply after Trump threatens new tariffs, shifting attention away from US fiscal concerns, firmly onto trade tariff policies. Trump threatened 50% trade tariffs on the EU as trade talks were not progressing. Trump also threatened 25% tariffs on iPhones not made in America.

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May 24, 2025 12:05 AM
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US Dollar Short-term Outlook: USD Reversal Keeps 2025 Downtrend Intact

USD failed at the 2025 downtrend with a break of support risking further losses into the close of the month. Battle lines drawn on the DXY short-term technical charts.

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S&P500 Forecast: SPX slips, treasury yields rise as Trump's bill is passed

U.S. stocks are falling but have recovered from the lows as investors weigh up the impact of Trump's Big Beautiful Bill ahead of business activity data later in the session. Trump's signature tax bill narrowly passed a House vote this morning, advancing the package. It will avert a year-end tax increase at the expense of increasing U.S. debt.

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May 22, 2025 11:42 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX falls as bond yields climb with Trump's bill in focus

U.S. stocks are opening lower as investors digest earnings from major retailers and monitor developments on Trump's key budget bill. A key vote on the sweeping tax cuts comes after Moody's cut the US credit rating, citing concerns over the huge US debt pile.

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May 21, 2025 11:05 PM