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20231218 - 001 - 01

S&P 500 Forecast: SPX slips as geopolitical tensions escalate

U.S. stocks are pointing to a weaker open on Monday as Iran vowed to retaliate for the US air strikes on its nuclear facilities over the weekend. The market reaction has so far been fairly muted as investors wait to see how Iran will retaliate. The markets also grapple with ongoing price pressures from President Trump's tariffs. Volatility in the oil price could add a new layer of inflationary concerns.

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June 23, 2025 11:22 PM
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Nasdaq Forecast: QQQ rises as Trump delays US involvement decision

U.S. stocks are pointing to a modestly stronger start on Friday amid the ongoing uncertainty surrounding the US involvement in the Iran-Israel war. As the conflict in the Middle East is entering a second week, President Trump said he will decide in the coming two weeks whether the US will get involved in attacking Iran's nuclear facilities. This has eased fears of an imminent attack.

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June 20, 2025 11:09 PM

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Post-FOMC USD Price Action: Can the U.S. Dollar Follow Through?

It’s been a bearish year so far for the USD although the currency has generally shown bullish responses to FOMC meetings. The big question now is whether it can finally find some follow through or whether this is another rally that sellers will fade.

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June 19, 2025 06:37 AM
20231218 - 001 - 01

Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA subdued with the Fed & Middle East conflict in focus

U.S. stocks are set to open broadly unchanged amid rising tensions in the Middle East and ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision later today. President Trump and his team are evaluating several options, including potentially joining direct strikes against Iranian nuclear facilities. The Fed is expected to leave rates unchanged at 4.25% to 4.5%.

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June 18, 2025 11:34 PM
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Pre-FOMC USD Price Action Setups: EUR/USD, USD/JPY

Tomorrow brings a vitally important Federal Reserve rate decision and the driver will probably be the bank’s dot plot matrix as the Fed updates their projections for the rest of the year.

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S&P500 Forecast: SPX falls as Iran-Israel conflict continues, US retail sales drop

U.S. stocks are set to open lower as the Israel-Iran conflict continues for a fifth day, hurting risk sentiment and as retail sales fall by more than expected ahead of the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision.

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June 17, 2025 10:50 PM

Fed, DXY, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, Gold, Oil Weekly Technical Outlook

Sr. Technical Strategist Michael Boutros highlights the levels that matter on the USD Majors, commodities & stocks into the weekly open.

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S&P500 Forecast: SPX rises as oil prices fall despite the ongoing Israel-Iran conflict

U.S. stocks are set for a positive open after losses last week as easing oil prices lift sentiment despite the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran. With oil supply unaffected by the conflict so far, oil prices eased calming the broader market. Attention also turns to the FIOMC rate decision on Wednesday.

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June 16, 2025 10:55 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA slumps in risk-off trade amid Middle East escalation

U.S. stocks are falling in risk-off trade after Israel launched an attack on Iran overnight, hitting risk sentiment and pulling stocks lower, whilst oil prices surged. Safe haven Gold has rallied, and the USD has also seen safe haven demand for the first time in months. Headline risk remains a key driver and developments over the week could impact Monday's open.

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June 13, 2025 11:23 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA falls after weak data & Trump's trade tariff update

U.S. stocks are falling after weaker-than-expected data raises concerns over the health of the US economy, and as Trump rattles the markets with more trade tariff uncertainty. Data showed that US jobless claims were higher than expected, rising to 248K up from 247K and defying expectations of a decline to 240K. Meanwhile, US producer price inflation also remained muted in May, another sign that tariffs have yet to increase prices.

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June 13, 2025 12:00 AM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ muted with US-China trade talks in focus

U.S. stocks are pointing to a muted start as investors await the outcome of ongoing trade talks between the US and China, which aim to ease tensions between the two powers. Chips and rare earth minerals will be a key focus for the discussions. Attention is also turning to US CPI data tomorrow.

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June 10, 2025 11:37 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX muted ahead of US-China trade talks

U.S. stocks are subdued on Monday as investors await news surrounding renewed U.S.-China trade talks and look ahead to key inflation data later in the week. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and two other U.S. officials are expected to hold trade talks with representatives from China in London today. Any improvement in relations and progress could boost the market mood.

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June 9, 2025 10:40 PM
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US Dollar Outlook: Don’t Write Off the USD Just Yet

The US dollar remains under pressure, but extreme bearish sentiment, technical support, and fading downside momentum hint at a potential rebound.

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US Dollar Short-term Outlook: USD Holds Key Support Before NFPs

US Dollar plunged into critical support at the yearly lows with the weekly range intact ahead of NFPs. Battle lines drawn on the DXY short-term technical charts.