Week ahead

Crude Oil Week Ahead: Tariff concerns weigh on oil demand forecasts and geopolitical tensions elevate supply risks; this dual pressure is stalling oil’s rebound near the $70 per barrel mark ahead of Liberation Day and U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) week.

Crude Oil Week Ahead: Crude oil prices remain above the $66 mark, supported by Iranian oil sanctions, escalating Russia-Ukraine tensions, and broader market rebound sentiment. However, concerns over the trade war and oversupply risks continue to fuel a broader bearish outlook.

Crude Oil Week Ahead: The transition from trade wars to trade deals has taken a significant toll on markets. Upcoming geopolitical developments, OPEC’s monthly report, and the US inflation report—following concerns over China’s deflation—add further uncertainty to the oil market this week.

Crude Oil Week Ahead: Crude oil prices have experienced bearish dominance for the fifth consecutive week, retesting the critical $70 psychological level, while natural gas has reached 11-month highs. Geopolitical developments continue to be a major concern.

Crude Oil Week Ahead: with crude oil markets tripping on rising inventories, overproduction risks from the US, and declining supply disruption risks from Russia-Ukraine tensions, is oil on track to new 4-year lows in 2025?

Crude Oil Week Ahead: As price spikes on oil remain short lived, the broader bearish impact of tariffs is supporting oil prices through their bearish trajectory, with possible alterations to OPEC forecasts and monthly reports in 2025.

Crude Oil Week Ahead: Crude oil retested its 2025 starting point, hovering near the key $72 support zone ahead of the first OPEC meeting of the year, next week's ISM PMI and Non-Farm Payrolls reports, and evolving energy policies under Donald Trump.

Crude Oil Week Ahead: Oil prices retreated from the $80 resistance level, lifting hopes for bears as Trump’s return to office and ceasefire agreements take center stage. China’s strong economic performance and non-OPEC oversupply risks remain critical to determining the sustainability of the 2025 uptrend.

Crude Oil Week Ahead: Crude oil remains on a bullish track this year, reaching 4-month highs. Next week, key inputs such as Chinese economic data, shifts in Fed rate expectations, and OPEC and IEA monthly reports are expected to shape the still range-bound direction of oil prices.

Crude Oil Week Ahead: After OPEC’s fifth downward revision for 2024 oil forecasts and additional cuts for 2025, crude oil prices stabilized near their 4-year support zone, buoyed by China’s stimulus commitments and significant Middle East reforms. Will it hold on FOMC week?

AUD/USD finds itself at a 13-month low after suffering its worst week in 19. Strong US data has propelled the USD higher while the Aussie also continues to track the Chinese yuan lower. A break of a key trendline from the 2022 low seems probable.